The report ‘Kortetermijnraming voor emissies en energie in 2020’, (short-term estimates of greenhouse gas emissions in 2020), that was released by the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) today, concludes that 3 Dutch 2020 energy and climate targets are likely not going to be reached in time.
The estimate was conducted in cooperation with research centre ECN part of TNO and RIVM (National Institute for Public Health and the Environment), by order of the Government and the Energy Agreement Committee and is focused on the 3 main climate and energy targets for the Netherlands in 2020. It can be seen as a partial update of the National Energy Outlook (Nationale Energieverkenning) 2017.
Greenhouse gas reduction
The reduction in greenhouse gas emission is expected to be 21%, against 1990, with a 17 – 24% range. This is lower than the 25% resulting from the ruling in the Urgenda law case. The reduction is mainly caused by a reduction in electricity production in coal and gas-fired power stations.
Renewable energy share
The renewable energy share in the gross final end consumption is expected to be 12.2% (with a range of 11-13%) in 2020. Although the renewable energy share is growing each year, with the main contributions coming from solar-pv, on and offshore wind energy, biomass and bio fuels, it will not be able to reach the 14% target set by the EU for the Netherlands.
The energy saving is expected to result in 81 petajoules (with a range of 52-108 PJ), which is also less than the 100 petajoules stated in the Energy Agreement.
For the estimate, the Climate Agreement draft (focused on 2030) has not been taken into consideration. The full report, can be viewed here (Dutch only).
The Dutch Association for Sustainable Energy (NVDE) has responded to the announcement with a note including measurements that could potentially still contribute towards reaching the targets. Photo: PBL